Raila maintains lead in coastal region as Ruto gains – Infotrak
Azimio-One Kenya presidential candidate Raila Odinga is leading in all the six counties of the Coast region less than three weeks to next month’s poll, a new survey shows.
The opinion poll by Infotrak Research and Consulting puts Raila in the lead with 50 per cent while his rival, UDA candidate, Deputy President William Ruto, follows with 29 per cent.
It shows that Raila had gained by one per cent from 49 per cent that he had in early July while Ruto had gained by 2 per cent from 27 per cent that he polled in the same period.
Infotrak Chief Executive Angela Ambitho said the poll, which was conducted between July 9 and 19, covered Mombasa, Kilifi, Kwale, Lamu, Tana River and Taita Taveta counties, 26 constituencies and 130 wards.
“The relevant section of the public that was targeted in the poll was persons who are voters, 18 years old and above at the time of the poll,” Info track says in its report.
“The data provides a snapshot of the perception and views of the electorate at the time when the survey was conducted. The percentage may change based on the dynamics on the ground such as increased impetus from completion, blunders from the client or users of this report, macro and micro political shifts in the study area etc,” reads the report.
The poll, however, shows the other two candidates George Wajackoyah of the roots party and Waihiga Mwaure of the Agano party have less than one per cent each.
Of notable importance is the number of undecided voters which the pollster notes ranges between 15 to 25 per cent, depending on the county.
The survey says undecided voters in Mombasa stand at 15 per cent, Kwale (23 per cent), Kilifi (26 per cent), Tana River (15 per cent), and Lamu (16 per cent) and Taita Taveta (16 per cent).
The opinion poll shows that in Mombasa, Raila leads with 59 per cent up from 46 per cent in early July while Ruto has 25 per cent up from 27 per cent.
Regarding parties, ODM is the most popular in Mombasa with 51 per cent followed by UDA. Kalonzo Musyoka’s Wiper is third with two per cent.
In Kwale, Raila has maintained the 51 per cent lead he scored in early July while Ruto has also maintained the 25 per cent.
ODM is the most popular party in the county with 42 per cent, followed by UDA with 23 per cent.
In Kilifi, Raila dropped seven per cent from 52 per cent recorded in early July to 45 per cent while Ruto had gained by one per cent, from 26 per cent in early July to 27 per cent.
ODM remains the most popular party with 37 per cent, while UDA has 23 per cent support.
In Tana River County, Raila’s popularity has gone up from 40 per cent in early July to 42 per cent, according to the poll. On the other hand, Ruto’s popularity has dropped from 43 per cent to 41 per cent.
Ruto’s UDA is, however, the most popular party with 38 per cent while ODM follows with 33 per cent. Jubilee is third with three per cent.
In Lamu County, Raila has gained by one per cent from 46 per cent in early July to 47 per cent, while Ruto’s popularity stands at 34 per cent up from 29 per cent in early July.
On party’s popularity, ODM is leading with 37 per cent followed by UDA with 31 per cent while the Jubilee party is third with 10 per cent.
The opinion poll shows that in Taita Taveta County, Raila is the most preferred candidate with 58 per cent up from 57 per cent in early July, while Ruto had 23 per cent down from 25 per cent recorded in early July.
ODM is still the most preferred party with 47 per cent, followed by UDA with 19 per cent while Jubilee has two per cent.